by Andy Atherton
August 25th, 2009
Another interesting article from Forbes.com’s Jim Spanfeller yesterday. I wholeheartedly agree his point about the online ad industry focusing too much on demand fulfillment and too little on demand creation, as evidenced by my previous posts here and here. That’s exactly why we built Brand.net from the ground up — to help advertisers with demand creation. I also agree with his point about ad networks that offer some types of user-based targeting representing a potential “data drain” and a legitimate privacy concern for publishers. This is an important issue and just coming to the fore for the publishing community overall.
That said, I disagree with two major points Jim makes in this article.
First, he seems to be perpetuating industry confusion on the definition of “remnant”. In the context of online ad inventory, “remnant” is commonly considered to be the opposite of “premium”, which is often used interchangeably with “high-quality”. Thus if “premium” = “high-quality”, then “remnant” = “low-quality”. Unfortunately this is often untrue. When used correctly, “remnant” actually means “available to the spot market after forward commitments have been fulfilled”. So the opposite of “remnant” is not “premium”. The opposite of “remnant” is “reserved in advance”. There are really two distinct axes at work here: one describes quality of the inventory, while the other essentially describes the terms or process under which the inventory was purchased. There is some correlation between the two axes, which I believe is at the heart of the persistent confusion; it’s a fact that remnant inventory is often of lower average quality than inventory that is reserved in advance. However, due to traffic volatility, forecast errors, suboptimal pricing, supply/demand imbalances, etc., there is often significant volume of high-quality or “premium” inventory available in the “remnant” market. The airline standby example he cites is actually a good illustration of the correct definition of remnant, not (as I think he suggests) the incorrect one that has done so much mischief. The standby seat has exactly the same physical characteristics (“quality”) as the seat sold in advance, but the difference in timing and deal structure results in a difference in value to both the airline and the passenger, which manifests in a difference in price.
This brings me to my second point: Jim’s position in this article on airline yield management practices shows some pretty fundamental misunderstandings. Airlines’ lack of profitability has a lot more to do with unions, over-capacity and sub-optimal product offerings than it does customers risking their vacation plans or business objectives to save money on a last-minute ticket. So I would echo Jason Kelly’s well-informed comments on the thread and add that to suggest yield management practices are somehow to blame for the poor financial performance of airlines is like suggesting that ERP systems and supply chain optimization practices are responsible for the poor financial performance of the American auto industry. It’s simply not true.
The bottom line is that ad networks and publishers can work together for mutual benefit over the long haul, but to do so requires careful management of channel conflict, an issue we take very seriously. This discussion is a valuable and important one, but I think we need to be more careful and rigorous in our thinking – the more so, the better off we’ll be as an industry.
by Andy Atherton
July 2nd, 2009
Solid article on ClickZ last week with some insightful commentary from Nielsen Online CEO John Burbank. Mr. Burbank correctly identifies lack of brand dollars online as the source of current downward pressure on rates and publisher revenue. He’s 100% right that without these dollars following audiences online, the online publishing ecosystem will degrade and that users will not like the results. This second theme was echoed by Omar Tawakol, CEO of BlueKai, in another insightful piece for AdAge. So without a robust online ad market online, online publishing will suffer. And if that ad market doesn’t include the large brands that funded quality content in other media, online content quality will degrade to the detriment of users, advertisers and publishers alike. A tragedy of the commons of sorts.
Mr. Burbank went on to make the important point if publishers want to attract brand spend, they need to help brand advertisers measure results using metrics that are appropriate to the objectives of brand campaigns. He suggests that rather than focusing on clicks, brands should be focused on “whether their ads reach the desired targets, change the way consumers think about their brands, or help sell products.” Couldn’t have said it better myself. This is something we discuss with our clients every day. We actually partner with Nielsen to help our clients in CPG measure the extent to which their online campaigns sell product offline. The results speak for themselves. Online advertising works.
I do disagree with Mr. Burbank on one important point, however. He seems to suggest that ad networks are responsible for the current challenges online publishers face. It’s true that ad networks can put downward pressure on CPMs for a publisher, but that is primarily driven not by the fact that a network is doing the selling, but that the vast majority of networks sell almost exclusively to DR buyers. Those buyers are extremely price sensitive and thus the downward pressure. If there was a healthy level of demand by brand advertisers for online content, this downward pressure would be balanced and the online publishing ecosystem would be much more stable. Unfortunately, online branding today remains too inefficient for brand dollars to follow audiences online easily and balance this equation. So an ad network focused on branding, such as Brand.net, actually helps matters, increasing efficiency for brand buyers to help move budgets from other media, while not undermining the economics of the premium publishing model. This is another topic near and dear to my heart, which I addressed at some length in an iMedia post earlier this year.
by Andy Atherton
March 6th, 2009
Many interesting points raised in this recent MediaPost Blog. Certainly an interesting take on one of the reasons for the current predominance of DR over Branding in online advertising and I agree wholeheartedly that online display ads are a far better branding medium than it’s currently fashionable to believe. (I found myself thinking, “AMEN!” as I read that paragraph. Well put.) Continue Reading…
by Andy Atherton
February 17th, 2009
It’s true that there’s an imbalance between supply and demand, which is putting downward pressure on rates as highlighted in this morning’s WSJ article “Future Shock for Internet Ads?”. However, I think there are some important details missing that would add richness and perspective to this article and other similar ones. Continue Reading…
by Andy Atherton
February 9th, 2009
This week Randall Rothenberg, the President of the IAB, released a self-proclaimed “manifesto” which picks up many relevant themes to our work at Brand.net.
It’s quite long, but the first 3 sections and the last 2 echo conversations we have with partners (advertisers, agencies and publishers) literally on a daily basis. As I said in my comment to Randall’s article, there’s more confusion than information in too much of the ongoing debate about CPMs, formats/standards and the role of networks. Everyone – advertisers, agencies, publishers and networks – would be better served if we could collectively take a step back from today’s disproportionate focus on DR and think more broadly about what it takes to make the Internet work for the full funnel. In doing so we will find long-term, sustainable solutions to many of today’s challenges.
- Andy Atherton, COO/Cofounder